Gartner: Asia Pacific IT Spending to Reach $733 Billion in 2013

Analysts to Discuss Latest IT Spending Outlook During Complimentary Gartner Webinar
on January 8

Kuala Lumpur, 8 January 2013 — Leading information technology research and advisory company Gartner announced today that IT spending in the Asia Pacific region is projected to reach US$733 billion in 2013, up 7.1% over 2012. Worldwide IT spending is projected to total $3.7 trillion in 2013, a 4.2 percent increase from 2012 spending of $3.6 trillion, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Inc. The 2013 outlook for IT spending growth in U.S. dollars has been revised upward from 3.8 percent in the 3Q12 forecast.

Gartner analysts said much of this spending increase is the result from projected gains in the value of foreign currencies versus the dollar. When measured in constant dollars, 2013 spending growth is forecast to be 3.9 percent.

The Gartner Worldwide IT Spending Forecast is the leading indicator of major technology trends across the hardware, software, IT services and telecom markets. For more than a decade, global IT and business executives have been using these highly anticipated quarterly reports to recognize market opportunities and challenges, and base their critical business decisions on proven methodologies rather than guesswork.

"Uncertainties surrounding prospects for an upturn in global economic growth are the major retardants to IT growth," said Richard Gordon, managing vice president at Gartner. "This uncertainty has caused the pessimistic business and consumer sentiment throughout the world. However, much of this uncertainty is nearing resolution, and as it does, we look for accelerated spending growth in 2013 compared to 2012."

Worldwide devices spending which includes PCs, tablets, mobile phones and printers, is forecast to reach $666 billion in 2013, up 6.3 percent from 2012 (see Table 1). However, this is a significant reduction in the outlook for 2013 compared with Gartner's previous forecast of $706 billion in worldwide devices and 7.9 percent growth. The long-term forecast for worldwide spending on devices has been reduced as well, with growth from 2012 through 2016 now expected to average 4.5 percent annually in current U.S. dollars (down from 6.4 percent) and 5.1 percent annually in constant dollars (down from 7.4 percent). These reductions reflect a sharp reduction in the forecast growth in spending on PCs and tablets that is only partially offset by marginal increases in forecast growth in spending on mobile phones and printers.

"The tablet market has seen greater price competition from android devices as well as smaller, low-priced devices in emerging markets," Mr. Gordon said. "It is ultimately this shift toward relatively lower-priced tablets that lowers our average selling prices forecast for 2012 through 2016, which in turn is responsible for slowing device spending growth in general, and PC and tablet spending growth in particular."

Table 1. Worldwide IT Spending Forecast (Billions of U.S. Dollars)

	2012 Spending	2012 Growth	2013 Spending	2013 Growth	2014 Spending	2014 Growth
Devices	627	2.9%	666	6.3%	694	4.2%
Data Center Systems	141	2.3%	147	4.5%	154	4.2%
Enterprise Software	278	3.3%	296	6.4%	316	6.8%
IT Services	881	1.8%	927	5.2%	974	5.1%
Telecom Services	1,661	-0.1%	1,701	2.4%	1,742	2.4%
Overall IT	3,588	1.2%	3,737	4.2%	3,881	3.8%

Source: Gartner (January 2013)

In Asia Pacific (including Japan), the software segment is expected to grow the strongest at 8% year-on-year, whereas the telecommunication services segment is expected to post the lowest growth at 4% year-on-year.  The devices segment in Japan is expected to post a 2% decline year-on-year. In this quarter update, Gartner lowered its devices forecast for 2013 by US$17 billion in the Asia Pacific region (including Japan). Gartner believes the demand opportunity for PCs in emerging markets is smaller in both the near and long term than we initially predicted, as buyers will turn to tablets as their first choice of device.

The Tablet market will experience greater price competition from Android devices alongside a shift to more lower-priced devices in emerging markets. This shift toward relatively lower-priced tablets lowers our average selling price forecast for 2012 through 2016. This, in turn, reduces both device spending growth in general and PC spending in particular.

Worldwide enterprise software spending is forecast to total $296 billion in 2013, a 6.4 percent increase from 2012. This segment will be driven by key markets such as security, storage management and customer relationship management; however, beginning in 2014, markets aligned to big data and other information management initiatives, such as enterprise content management, data integration tools, and data quality tools will begin to see increased levels of investment.

The global telecom services market continues to be the largest IT spending market. Gartner analysts predict that growth will be predominately flat over the next several years as revenue from mobile data services compensates for the declines in total spending for both the fixed and mobile voice services markets. By 2016, Gartner forecasts that mobile data will represent 33 percent of the total telecom services market, up from 22 percent in 2012.

More detailed analysis on the outlook for the IT industry will be presented in the webinar "Gartner Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, 4Q12 Update — 2013 The Year Ahead." The complimentary webinar will be hosted by Gartner on January 8 at 1 p.m. EST.